Computer model of resource demand planning for dairy farms

Main Article Content

Anatolii Тryhuba
Inna Тryhuba
Iryna Mushenyk
Oksana Pashсhenko
Mykola Likhter

Abstract

The research presents results of the analysis of scientific and practical conditions of planning of the needs for resources, required for the implementation of the projects of agricultural production. The work substantiates the improvement of the method of forecasting the demand of natural resources, required for fodder production. That method expects the performance of four stages, which are based on production experiments and require computer modeling. The presented method, contrary to the existing ones, considers changeable natural-climatic, subject, organization, and scale constituents of the project environment of the agricultural production projects. Using the developed computer model for forecasting of the natural resource demand for fodder production under conditions of the agricultural servicing cooperative “Pokrova” of Zabolottsi community in Brody district of Lviv region, the work has studied impact of natural-climatic, organization and scale constituents of production conditions on the variation of the natural resource demand. It is confirmed that the mathematical expectation of the area of the required field for the growing of fodder crops with a proportional change of the milking herd population is made according to polynomial dependencies of the second order. The correlation coefficient of the obtained dependencies is 0.85…0.99. It confirms a strong correlation relation between the mathematical expectation of the area of the field, necessary for the growing of fodder crops, and the structure of the milking herd population. The increase of the milking herd population results in the growth of the mathematical expectation and insufficient increase of the mean-square deviation of the area of the field, required for growing of fodder crops.

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Article Details

Section
Integration System of Education, Science and Production
Author Biographies

Anatolii Тryhuba, Lviv National Agrarian University

Dr.Sc. in Engineering, Professor

Head of Information Systems and Technologies Department 

 

Inna Тryhuba, Lviv National Agrarian University

PhD, Associate Professor
Department of Genetics, breeding and plant protection

str. Vladimir the Great, 1, Dublyany, Zhovkva district, Lviv region, Ukraine, 80381
Contact tel.: 098–65–640–97
The number of articles in the national database – 25
The number of articles in international databases – 7

Iryna Mushenyk, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya

Ph.D. (Economics), works at the Department of Mathematical Disciplines, Informatics, and Modeling of the State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podillya. She teaches computer science, information technology.

He has a deep interest in research publications. Scientific interests: MODELS AND METHODS OF FORMATION OF OPTIMAL STRUCTURE AND SIZES OF PRODUCTION OF AGRICULTURAL ENTERPRISES.

Oksana Pashсhenko, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine

Ph.D. (Economics), 

Associate Professor of Economic Theory Department

Mykola Likhter, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine

Candidate of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Technology in Poultry, Pig and Sheep National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine.

His practical experience of the manager at the Department of Technology in Poultry, Pig and Sheep. Research activities: technology of using high-protein feeds and physiology of feeding of farm animals.

Scientific interests: animal husbandry, selection, farm, dairy productivity, rabbits, poultry, resources, zooengineering

 Adress: 15 Heroyiv Oborony st., Kyiv, 03041, Ukraine

 Tel: 0038067 923 67 20

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